{"id":1233,"date":"2024-01-04T17:43:05","date_gmt":"2024-01-04T17:43:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/?p=1233"},"modified":"2024-01-04T17:43:09","modified_gmt":"2024-01-04T17:43:09","slug":"the-us-cant-stop-chinas-rise-but-it-will-cripple-the-eu-while-trying","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/2024\/01\/04\/the-us-cant-stop-chinas-rise-but-it-will-cripple-the-eu-while-trying\/","title":{"rendered":"The US can\u2019t stop China\u2019s rise, but it will cripple the EU while trying"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Washington\u2019s desperate attempts to curb Beijing\u2019s high-tech development are hurting American allies more than the Chinese<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>Timur Fomenko<\/em><\/strong><em>, political analyst<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2024.01\/xxs\/6595a76585f54001690d1f26.jpg?ssl=1\" alt=\"The US can\u2019t stop China\u2019s rise, but it will cripple the EU while trying\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An employee makes chips at a factory of Jiejie Semiconductor Company in Nantong, in eastern China&#8217;s Jiangsu province on March 17, 2021 \u00a9&nbsp; STR \/ AFP<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For years now, the US has been strongarming the Netherlands into accepting technology restrictions on the export of advanced lithography machines to China. These machines, produced by the Dutch firm ASML, use lasers to help create circuits for microchips.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although ASML is a world-leading specialist company, its foundational patents are derived from the US, which allows Washington to coerce it into following unilateral export controls as the Americans see fit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">American restrictions have come in several waves, building on the sweeping export controls introduced in 2022. One such update concerning a specific kind of lithography machine came into effect on Monday, January 1, 2024. ASML attempted to rush through the sale of several such machines to China before the deadline but canceled it at the last moment \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-01-01\/us-pushed-asml-to-block-chinese-sales-before-january-deadline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reportedly<\/a> due to pressure from the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The news caused ASML\u2019s US shares to drop. The fundamental goal of US foreign policy here is to try and crush China\u2019s semiconductor industry and hobble its high tech ambitions, which has become one of the critical strategies to try and curb China\u2019s military and economic rise as a whole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In doing so, the US has blacklisted Chinese technology firms and has increasingly tried to stave off the exports of semiconductor equipment to China, describing it as a <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefing-room\/speeches-remarks\/2022\/10\/13\/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-the-biden-harris-administrations-national-security-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201csmall yard, high fence\u201d<\/a><\/em> approach. Despite this, there is overwhelming evidence at this stage that such sanctions are not working, not least because China is pursuing a coordinated state and industry effort to forcibly advance itself in semiconductor technology which has seen Huawei, the original US target of sanctions, effectively <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/graphics\/2023-china-huawei-semiconductor\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">piece together its very own semiconductor supply chain<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/589933-2023-us-hegemony-last\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a>While doing this, China has also found increasingly creative ways around restrictions, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theregister.com\/2023\/11\/15\/banned_chipmaking_equipment_china\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">secured loopholes for US equipment<\/a>, and has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.engadget.com\/how-chinas-chip-production-boomed-in-2023-despite-sanctions-143058510.html?guccounter=1&amp;guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&amp;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAJY8hk8wWh95IqEifFp0RNVn9Zj3nyu36jswdbWQHec2DJY37FlFyuRWZzZYeUIy_5142wPxejZUIaoehYSfOOpcgpsspO9iVbCZYLW1UewrcHEOZ5fo5XM3trBgfQgWCDLhJxFjhA7oNHFkXqkFzx9U88NEeJ45u3BzkfrV4jet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">continued to make progress on new chip nodes<\/a> while also making older designs more efficient and effectively shrugging off America\u2019s coercive campaign. If it wasn\u2019t obvious already, the US is doubling down on failure and is forcing China towards self-sufficiency, which, of course, most ironically, will hurt US companies and exports above all. How exactly can the US feasibly maintain strict export controls over the world\u2019s second-largest economy and largest trading nation?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, moves targeted at companies such as ASML show that the US continues to represent an obvious threat and challenge to European economic competitiveness and prosperity. Why? Because EU firms are being forced, by command of a third party, to sever ties with their most lucrative market, in order to meet American goals. The US likes to claim that it supports free and fair trade in a market governed by the rule of law, but what kind of <em>\u201crule of law\u201d<\/em> is there in a system where a firm you operate has secured a large number of sales in anticipation of a restriction deadline imposed by a third party outside of your legal system and then has to cancel those sales anyway because the same third party doesn\u2019t want to wait for the deadline?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">China is the world\u2019s largest semiconductor market, whose high-tech development fuels a greater demand for microchips than anywhere else in the world. The US believes it can hamstring China\u2019s long-term prospects by blocking this ascension as the country moves away from low-end manufacturing. Washington\u2019s plan to stop China\u2019s development and induce stagnation is based on faulty logic that China is incapable of innovating or moving forward without Western technology, which goes against all <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2023\/may\/24\/china-overtakes-us-in-contributions-to-nature-and-science-journals\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">evidence<\/a> to the contrary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead, in the long-term, this approach will effectively cut off Western firms from the critical and lucrative Chinese market, as the US aims to create a new global supply chain in technology which it dominates, and therefore make the EU dependent upon it. This reminds us that the EU is the biggest loser of America\u2019s war on China as it seeks to break a lucrative trading relationship but also, more critically, undermine European competitiveness, as it has done by depriving it of Russian energy over the war in Ukraine, and therefore absorb the market space for itself. To follow American wishes on China is to sacrifice sovereignty, geopolitical autonomy, and prosperity to serve the goals of the United States. It is a lose-lose situation. What happens to ASML when the time comes that China is capable of creating its own high-end chips and lithography equipment? And no longer has need of it for its domestic market, and offers the same solutions to other countries? You need to be in China to compete in the game, you don\u2019t win by refusing to participate when the other side is still kicking the ball.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Washington\u2019s desperate attempts to curb Beijing\u2019s high-tech development are hurting American allies more than the Chinese By&nbsp;Timur Fomenko, political analyst An employee makes chips at a factory of Jiejie Semiconductor Company in Nantong, in eastern China&#8217;s Jiangsu province on March&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","wpcat-1-id"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1233"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1234,"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1233\/revisions\/1234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sfawbn.com\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}